Fire Outlook

Today's Fire outlook: Tomorrows Fire Forecast:

 









Fire Forecast for the next 3-8 Days:

 

 

 

Storm Prediction Center
SPC Fire Weather Outlooks
  • SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
    Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
    Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0359 PM CST Fri Jan 17 2025
    
    Valid 191200Z - 251200Z
    
    ...Southern California...
    Within the base of a highly amplified, positive-tilt large-scale
    trough over the West, an embedded shortwave trough will track
    southeastward across the Southwest into the southern Rockies from
    Day 4/Monday into Day 5/Tuesday. At the same time, an amplified
    upper ridge will build over the eastern Pacific, favoring
    strengthening surface high pressure over the Intermountain West.
    This pattern will result in a strengthening offshore pressure
    gradient across southern CA (-6 to -8 mb LAX-DAG gradient), with
    moderate midlevel support across the area. Given reasonably good
    agreement in the development of single-digit to lower teens RH and
    strong/gusty east-northeasterly surface winds, 70-percent Critical
    probabilities have been introduced for the wind-prone Santa Ana
    corridor (much of Ventura County, northern/western Los Angeles
    County, and portions of northern San Bernardino County) for Day
    4/Monday into Day 5/Tuesday. 
    
    From Day 6/Wednesday into Day 7/Thursday, another shortwave trough
    should track southeastward across the Great Basin and Southwest,
    while an upstream ridge builds over the eastern Pacific. While
    noteworthy differences are evident among the medium-range guidance
    regarding this overall evolution, current indications are that
    surface high pressure will once again strengthen over the
    Intermountain West, favoring the potential for another dry offshore
    wind event across southern CA. 40-percent Critical probabilities
    have been added for Day 6/Wednesday into Day 7/Thursday, and higher
    probabilities could eventually be needed as the details become more
    clear.
    
    ..Weinman.. 01/17/2025
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
    
    
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